Meridian Edge Research
Data-driven analysis from regulated prediction markets. Published weekly. Aggregated, not predicted.
Consensus isn't just a number — it's what happens when multiple financially-incentivized participants across regulated markets all price the same event. We break down exactly how aggregation works, why it matters more than any single market's price, and what the academic literature says about its value in forecasting.
Read BriefingThe CFTC announced an Innovation Task Force on March 24, 2026, covering crypto, AI, and event contracts. Analysis of what regulatory clarity means for data aggregation, institutional access, and AI agent builders.
Ten NBA matchups tracked across regulated markets. Six games show strong consensus conviction above 70%. The closest matchup sits at 52.5% — a near pick-'em by any measure.
Meridian Edge tracked 39 prediction market events across NHL and NBA this week. Spreads, confidence levels, and notable divergences across the full week's regulated-market slate.
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