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Meridian Edge Research — Data Briefing — March 26, 2026
Daily Analysis March 26, 2026 3 min read

Prediction Market Movers — March 26, 2026

The biggest consensus probability shifts and source disagreements across 1,851 prediction markets.

A quieter day in prediction markets — 1,851 events tracked, with most probabilities holding steady. The divergences tell a more interesting story.

Largest Source Disagreements

These markets show the widest gap between data sources — where the consensus is least settled.

MarketCategorySource SpreadConsensusSources
Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics (NBA) Sports 16.4% 43.0% 2
Charlotte Hornets vs. New York Knicks (NBA) Sports 15.2% 60.4% 2
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat (NBA) Sports 17.4% 51.9% 2
Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans (NBA) Sports 11.9% 62.6% 2
Chicago Bulls vs. Philadelphia 76ers (NHL) Sports 30.5% 33.4% 2

Analysis

No major probability shifts today. We'll continue monitoring for developments.

Track these markets in real time with the Meridian Edge API.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What moved in prediction markets on March 26, 2026?
Meridian Edge tracked 1,851 events with no major shifts.
What are prediction market probability shifts?
Probability shifts measure how much the consensus view on an event has changed over a period. Meridian Edge aggregates data from multiple regulated prediction markets to compute a single consensus probability, then tracks how that consensus changes over time.
How is prediction market consensus calculated?
Consensus is computed by aggregating publicly available pricing data from multiple regulated prediction markets. Each source is weighted by availability and recency. The result is a single probability figure updated continuously.
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Data Sources

All data in this report is derived from publicly available prediction market pricing aggregated by Meridian Edge. Consensus probabilities are computed from multiple regulated prediction markets and updated every 10 minutes. Historical dataset: 100M+ aggregated data points.