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Meridian Edge Research — Data Briefing — March 23, 2026
Daily Analysis March 23, 2026 3 min read

Prediction Market Movers — March 23, 2026

The biggest consensus probability shifts and source disagreements across 16 prediction markets.

A quieter day in prediction markets — 16 events tracked, with most probabilities holding steady. The divergences tell a more interesting story.

Largest Source Disagreements

These markets show the widest gap between data sources — where the consensus is least settled.

MarketCategorySource SpreadConsensusSources
Indiana Pacers vs. Orlando Magic (NBA) Sports 6.4% 30.8% 2
Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs (NBA) Sports 21.1% 31.6% 2
New Orleans Pelicans vs. New York Knicks (NBA) Sports 33.0% 45.5% 2

Analysis

No major probability shifts today. We'll continue monitoring for developments.

Track these markets in real time with the Meridian Edge API.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What moved in prediction markets on March 23, 2026?
Meridian Edge tracked 16 events with no major shifts.
What are prediction market probability shifts?
Probability shifts measure how much the consensus view on an event has changed over a period. Meridian Edge aggregates data from multiple regulated prediction markets to compute a single consensus probability, then tracks how that consensus changes over time.
How is prediction market consensus calculated?
Consensus is computed by aggregating publicly available pricing data from multiple regulated prediction markets. Each source is weighted by availability and recency. The result is a single probability figure updated continuously.
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Data Sources

All data in this report is derived from publicly available prediction market pricing aggregated by Meridian Edge. Consensus probabilities are computed from multiple regulated prediction markets and updated every 10 minutes. Historical dataset: 100M+ aggregated data points.

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