Prediction Market Movers — March 27, 2026

The biggest consensus probability shifts and source disagreements across 1,875 prediction markets.

Our data pipeline tracked 1,875 prediction market events over the last 24 hours. We found 2 notable probability shifts across sports markets. Here's today's breakdown.

Biggest Probability Shifts

These markets saw the largest consensus probability changes in the last 24 hours.

Market	Category	24h Change	Current Consensus
Indiana Pacers vs. LA Clippers (NBA)	Sports	▲ 46.6%	68.4%
Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Pistons (NHL)	Sports	▼ 36.7%	22.4%

Largest Source Disagreements

These markets show the widest gap between data sources — where the consensus is least settled.

Market	Category	Source Spread	Consensus	Sources
Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics (NBA)	Sports	20.6%	41.3%	2
Indiana Pacers vs. LA Clippers (NBA)	Sports	42.9%	38.4%	2
Buffalo Sabres vs. Detroit Pistons (NHL)	Sports	15.9%	22.1%	2
Chicago Bulls vs. NY Rangers (NHL)	Sports	16.2%	52.3%	2

Analysis

The biggest move today was Indiana Pacers vs. LA Clippers (NBA) — a 46.6% shift that pushed the consensus to 68.4%. Large shifts like this typically indicate new information entering the market, though they can also reflect thin liquidity. We'll continue tracking this one.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What moved in prediction markets on March 27, 2026?

Meridian Edge tracked 1,875 events. The biggest probability shift was 46.6% for Indiana Pacers vs. LA Clippers (NBA).

What are prediction market probability shifts?

Probability shifts measure how much the consensus view on an event has changed over a period. Meridian Edge aggregates data from multiple regulated prediction markets to compute a single consensus probability, then tracks how that consensus changes over time.

How is prediction market consensus calculated?

Consensus is computed by aggregating publicly available pricing data from multiple regulated prediction markets. Each source is weighted by availability and recency. The result is a single probability figure updated continuously.

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Data Sources

All data in this report is derived from publicly available prediction market pricing aggregated by Meridian Edge. Consensus probabilities are computed from multiple regulated prediction markets and updated every 10 minutes. Historical dataset: 100M+ aggregated data points.