Prediction Market Weekly Recap — April 07 to April 13, 2026

The biggest consensus shifts and source disagreements from the past week across 731 markets.

A quieter week in some categories, but Sports saw real movement.

This Week's Headlines

Market	Category	Weekly Change	Current Consensus
Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers	Sports	▼ 89.5%	2.5%
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors	Sports	▲ 88.5%	94.5%
Boston Celtics vs. New Orleans Pelicans (NBA)	Sports	▲ 82.9%	93.7%
Chicago Bulls vs. Orlando Magic (NBA)	Sports	▼ 80.2%	10.3%
Indiana Pacers vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (NBA)	Sports	▼ 78.6%	7.3%
Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers (NBA)	Sports	▼ 74.2%	17.7%
Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers (NBA)	Sports	▲ 71.8%	85.4%
Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors (NBA)	Sports	▼ 65.1%	30.4%
Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks (NBA)	Sports	▼ 58.4%	20.2%
Anaheim Ducks vs. Nashville Predators (NHL)	Sports	▲ 58.1%	97.5%

Category Breakdown

Here's how the week's shifts distributed across categories:

Sports: 15 notable shifts

Looking Ahead

We're tracking 731 events heading into next week. Categories with the most active shifts tend to sustain momentum, so it's worth watching sports markets in particular.

Track these markets in real time with the Meridian Edge API.

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Frequently Asked Questions

How is multi-source consensus calculated?

Consensus is calculated by weighting publicly available pricing data from multiple regulated prediction markets by recency and availability. The result is a single probability updated every 10 minutes.

Why do prediction market probabilities change?

Probabilities shift as new information enters the market — news events, data releases, or changes in participant sentiment. Large shifts often correspond to specific catalysts.

What categories of prediction markets are tracked?

Meridian Edge tracks sports, politics, economics, digital assets, and other event categories — thousands of markets across multiple regulated sources.

View Live Dashboard API Documentation

Data Sources

All data in this report is derived from publicly available prediction market pricing aggregated by Meridian Edge. Consensus probabilities are computed from multiple regulated prediction markets and updated every 10 minutes. Historical dataset: 100M+ aggregated data points.