Prediction Market Weekly Recap — March 31 to April 06, 2026
The biggest consensus shifts and source disagreements from the past week across 543 markets.
The past seven days brought some interesting moves across prediction markets.
This Week's Headlines
| Market | Category | Weekly Change | Current Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings | Sports | ▼ 80.6% | 2.5% |
| Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Clippers | Sports | ▼ 57.8% | 1.5% |
| Colorado Avalanche vs. St. Louis Blues (NHL) | Sports | ▲ 53.9% | 95.9% |
| Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks | Sports | ▼ 48.6% | 1.5% |
| Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder | Sports | ▼ 46.0% | 2.5% |
| Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets | Sports | ▲ 42.2% | 90.5% |
| Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Ottawa Senators (NHL) | Sports | ▲ 38.2% | 86.4% |
| Florida Panthers vs. Ottawa Senators (NHL) | Sports | ▲ 37.1% | 76.4% |
| Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Mavericks (NHL) | Sports | ▲ 35.4% | 86.7% |
| Vancouver Canucks vs. Vegas Golden Knights (NHL) | Sports | ▼ 34.0% | 33.8% |
Category Breakdown
Here's how the week's shifts distributed across categories:
- Sports: 15 notable shifts
Looking Ahead
We're tracking 543 events heading into next week. Categories with the most active shifts tend to sustain momentum, so it's worth watching sports markets in particular.
Track these markets in real time with the Meridian Edge API.
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Data Sources
All data in this report is derived from publicly available prediction market pricing aggregated by Meridian Edge. Consensus probabilities are computed from multiple regulated prediction markets and updated every 10 minutes. Historical dataset: 100M+ aggregated data points.