Prediction Market Movers — April 03, 2026
The biggest consensus probability shifts and source disagreements across 1,274 prediction markets.
Our data pipeline tracked 1,274 prediction market events over the last 24 hours. We found 2 notable probability shifts across sports markets. Here's today's breakdown.
Biggest Probability Shifts
These markets saw the largest consensus probability changes in the last 24 hours.
| Market | Category | 24h Change | Current Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors | Sports | ▲ 19.8% | 98.5% |
| New Orleans Pelicans vs. Portland Trail Blazers (NBA) | Sports | ▼ 19.4% | 13.7% |
Analysis
The biggest move today was Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors — a 19.8% shift that pushed the consensus to 98.5%. Large shifts like this typically indicate new information entering the market, though they can also reflect thin liquidity. We'll continue tracking this one.
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Data Sources
All data in this report is derived from publicly available prediction market pricing aggregated by Meridian Edge. Consensus probabilities are computed from multiple regulated prediction markets and updated every 10 minutes. Historical dataset: 100M+ aggregated data points.