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2028 Presidential Election — Prediction Market Consensus

Aggregated consensus probabilities for the 2028 U.S. Presidential election from multiple regulated prediction markets. Data will update automatically as markets list 2028 presidential events.

Current Status

Consensus data will update as regulated prediction markets list 2028 presidential events. Most markets begin listing presidential contracts 12 to 18 months before election day. When contracts are available, this page will display live aggregated consensus probabilities from multiple independent sources — without naming or endorsing any candidate or party.

Meridian Edge aggregates contract prices using a volume-weighted methodology. Markets with deeper participation and faster settlement histories receive greater weight, producing a consensus estimate that is more stable and better calibrated than any single source.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will 2028 presidential prediction markets open?
Regulated prediction markets typically begin listing presidential election contracts 12 to 18 months before election day. Consensus data on this page will update automatically as markets list 2028 presidential events.
What does 2028 presidential consensus probability show?
Consensus probability aggregates contract prices from multiple regulated prediction markets into a single volume-weighted estimate. It reflects the collective view of all market participants without naming or endorsing any candidate.
Can I access 2028 presidential data via API?
Yes. When 2028 presidential markets are listed, the Meridian Edge API will include them in the consensus endpoint. Visit the pricing page to choose a plan.

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For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. Not a forecast, endorsement, or recommendation. Participation in prediction markets involves risk of loss.