Consensus probabilities for political events and elections from multiple prediction markets. See where the aggregate market stands.
View Live Dashboard →Prediction markets are platforms where participants trade contracts on the outcomes of future events. Prices reflect the collective probability estimate of a given outcome. When multiple independent markets are aggregated, the consensus tends to be more informative than any single market — reducing noise and revealing where the smart money is aligned.
Meridian Edge aggregates this data continuously so you can see the full picture at a glance.
Real-time consensus data is available on the dashboard. Markets update continuously.
We track US federal elections, major state races, and significant political events listed on active prediction markets.
Political prediction markets have a strong historical track record of calibration, often outperforming traditional polling.
No. We aggregate market probabilities mathematically. The data reflects market consensus, not editorial opinion.
The dashboard shows live consensus. Starter plan unlocks the full opportunity feed, historical data, and email alerts.
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